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Everyday Calculators · runs locally

Birthday Paradox Probability Calculator

Estimate the probability that at least two people share a birthday using the standard exponential approximation.

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Why this tool is useful

Understand collision risk in classrooms, teams, identifiers and hash-like spaces without sending a participant list anywhere.

How it works

It applies 1 - exp(-n(n-1)/(2d)), where n is the group size and d is the number of equally likely possible dates.

Practical example

For 23 people and 365 equally likely birthdays, the approximation is close to the familiar one-half threshold.

Validation

The calculation is deterministic and explains validation errors instead of silently changing invalid input.

Privacy boundary

Input and output remain in this tab. Copy and download happen through browser APIs without a server upload.

Result passport

Every run reports its tool mode, timestamp and input/output size so transformed data can be audited.